Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe–their causes and consequences for decision making

Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz; V Krysanova; R Dankers; Yukiko Hirabayashi; Shinjiro Kanae; F. F.  Hattermann; S Huang; P.C.D. Milly; M. Stoffel; P.P.J. Driessen; P. Matczak; P. Quevauviller; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

Publication Information

Title

Japanese:
English:	Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe–their causes and consequences for decision making

Author

Language

English

Journal/Book name

Japanese:
English:	Hydrological Sciences Journal

Volume, Number, Page

Volume 62 1 1-14

Published date

Jan. 2017

Publisher

Japanese:
English:	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES

Conference name

Japanese:
English:

Conference site

Japanese:
English:

Official URL

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2016.1241398

Abstract

This paper interprets differences in flood hazard projections over Europe and identifies likely sources of discrepancy. Further, it discusses potential implications of these differences for flood risk reduction and adaptation to climate change. The discrepancy in flood hazard projections raises caution, especially among decision makers in charge of water resources management, flood risk reduction, and climate change adaptation at regional to local scales. Because it is naïve to expect availability of trustworthy quantitative projections of future flood hazard, in order to reduce flood risk one should focus attention on mapping of current and future risks and vulnerability hotspots and improve the situation there. Although an intercomparison of flood hazard projections is done in this paper and differences are identified and interpreted, it does not seems possible to recommend which large-scale studies may be considered most credible in particular areas of Europe.

Home

Search

Support

About T2R2

Related Links

Publication Information